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SPAL Milan betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Even away from home, AC Milan should control the game and dominate ball possession, as they have a squad superior to the opponent and are going through a moment of great confidence, on the other side, a SPAL who should act on the counterattack, but with big problems in finishing. We remember that the home team are in the last position in the league table. Taking into account all these factors, risking in favor of the visitors in this game is the best option.
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Preview
SPAL and Milan face at Stadio Paolo Mazza, in a match for the 29th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 31‑10‑2019, Milan got a home win by (1‑0). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 6 wins in the last 6 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 15‑01‑2020, and ended in a (3‑0) win by Milan. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis SPAL

After 5 wins, 3 draws and 18 losses, the home team is in the 19th position, havinf won 18 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Parma by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Juventus. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches SPAL has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last home matches and they haven't won any of the last 8 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 18 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 12 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

SPAL come to this game very unmotivated after a 3-1 defeat at Napoli, registering in this way the second straight defeat in the competition. In this match against AC Milan, a team that are going through a good moment, coach Luigi Di Biagio should maintain the 4-4-2, privileging the defensive organization and the counterattacks by the aisles. Striker Andrea Petagna is the team's top scorer, with 12 goals scored. For this match the coach cannot count on Felipe due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Karlo Letica, Kevin Bonifazi, Nenad Tomović, Francesco Vicari, Jacopo Sala, Mattia Valoti, Marco D'Alessandro, Bryan Dabo, Mirko Valdifiori, Sergio Floccari, Andrea Petagna.
Coach: D. Di Carlo.

Analysis Milan

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 36 points won, after 10 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Fiorentina, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Genoa, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Milan has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 13 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 26 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 13 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

AC Milan come to this match with a 2-0 home win over Roma, thus registering the second consecutive victory in this Italian championship: Calhanoglu and Rebic scored the team's goals. In this trip to the SPAL arena, coach Stefano Pioli should maintain his usual strategy, prioritizing the maintenance of ball possession and successive paused attacks: Calhanoglu is largely responsible for transporting the ball to the attack. On the other hand, forward Ante Rebic is AC Milan's top scorer, with 8 goals scored. For this round, the manager cannot count on Ibrahimovic, Musacchio and Léo Duarte, players who are in the medical department.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Alessio Romagnoli, Theo Hernández, Davide Calabria, Lucas Paquetá, Matteo Gabbia, Samu Castillejo, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Franck Kessié, Ismaël Bennacer, Ante Rebić.
Coach: S. Pioli.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the SPAL vs Milan match, on 1 July 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Milan wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The SPAL vs Milan on 1 July 2020 will be played at Ferrara, Stadio Paolo Mazza.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the SPAL Milan match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Milan at with 94% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2019/2020

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 41.58%
  • Draws 22.37%
  • Away team wins 36.05%
  • Over 1.5 81.84%
  • Over 2.5 62.89%
  • Over 3.5 33.95%
  • Goals 1154
  • Goals /match 3.04
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.42
  • Both teams score 62.11%
  • Goals after 80' 16.29%
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